TABLE 1
DATA TYPE BY DATA SOURCE

DATA TYPE

DATA SOURCE

Vacant Property Survey, 1984, 2000-01 Philadelphia Department of Licenses and
Inspections
City Property File, 2001
Philadelphia Board of Revision of Taxes
Real Estate Tax Records, 2000
Philadelphia Revenue Department
Sheriff Sales Records, 2000
Philadelphia Sheriff Department
Philadelphia Housing Program Records,
1995-2001
Philadelphia Housing Development Corporation,
Philadelphia Office of Housing and Community
Development, Philadelphia Redevelopment
Authority
Lending Records, 1990-98
Home Mortgage Disclosure Act Data: Federal
Financial Institutions Examination Council
Structure Fire Records, 2000
Philadelphia Fire Department
Housing and Population, 1990, 2000
U.S. Bureau of the Census

TABLE 2
MEASURES OF ABANDONMENT IN PHILADELPHIA, 2000
 

 
 
U.S. Census:
Other Vacant
Property
 
 
L&I Vacant
Property
Survey: All
Vacant
Property
L&I Vacant
Property
Survey: Vacant
Tax Delinquent
or Publicly
Owned Vacant
Property
 
 
 
 
L&I Vacant
 Property Survey:
Vacant Housing
L&I Vacant
Property
Survey: Vacant Tax
Delinquent or
Publicly
Owned Vacant
Housing
      Total
Abandoned
N 37,508 59,737 44,799 26,090 19,161
 

TABLE 3
 CORRELATIONS AMONG THREE MEASURES
OF ABANDONMENT IN PHILADELPHIA, 2000

 
 
 
 
 
 
                                           
Licenses and
Inspections
Vacant Property
Survey: All
Vacant Property
L&I Vacant
Property Survey:
Vacant Tax
Delinquent or
Publicly Owned
Vacant Property
Licenses and
Inspections
Vacant Property
survey: Vacant
Housing
Licenses and
Inspections
Vacant Property
Survey: Vacant
Tax Delinquent
or Publicly
Owned Vacant
Housing
U.S. Census: Other
Vacant Property
.740 .733 .833 .827
L&I Vacant
Property Survey:
Vacant Tax
Delinquent or
Publicly Owned
Vacant Property
.991 1.0 .891 .913
 L&I Vacant
Property Survey:
Vacant Housing
.901 .891 1.0 .988

TABLE 4
DISTRIBUTION OF VACANT PROPERTY IN PHILADELPHIA,
1984 AND 2000
 

                          
      
All Vacancies,
1984
All Vacancies,
2000
Vacant lots,
2000
Vacant Housing,
2000
Vacant Commercial,
2000
# Vacant
         N             

Vacant Properties in Census Tracts
           Mean
           SD
           Median
           Range
 
With At Least One Vacant House
           N of Tracts
           % of Tracts
 
Vacant Properties in Residential St.
Segment3
         Mean
           SD
           Median
           Range
 
With At Least One Vacant House
           N of Residential St. Segments
           % of Blocks
 
38,228
 
 
105.31
181.32
26
0-1225
 
 
333
91.73%
 
 
 
          --
          --
          --
          --
 
 
          --
          --
 
59,796
 
 
164.72
259.81
50    
0-1846
 
 
344
94.76%
 
 

2.09
4.67
0
0=57
 
 
11,671
45.47%
 
30,730
 
 
84.88
162.92
20
0-1038
 
 
311
.96%
 
 

1.03
3.41
0          
0=57
 
 
6,280
24.54
 
25,922
 
 
71.94
105.94
26
0-778
 
 
322
88.70%
 
 

.97
2.11
0
0=42
 
 
9,175
35.81
 
3,144
 
 
8.15
15.30
2
0-135
 

250
69.06%
 
 

.08
.50
0
0=26
 
 
1,378
5.37
3Residential street segment consists of two parallel portions of a block facing each other.  Data at the residential street segment level not available for 1984
 
Source: Philadelphia Department of Licenses and Inspections Vacant Property Survey, 2000
 
 
 

TABLE 5
DISTRIBUTION OF VACANT PROPERTY AMONG PHILADELPHIA CITY COUNCIL DISTRICTS, 1984 AND 2000

 

Council
District
1984
# Vacant
1984 % Share of
City Vacant
2000
# Vacant
 2000 % Share of
City Vacant
1984-2000
% Change
  1
  2
  3
  4
  5
  6
  7
  8
  9
10
 
TOTAL
5,540
4,199
4,667
1,277
12,261
416
5,503
390
2,739
189
 
39,228
14.1%
10.7%
11.9%
3.3%
31.3%
1.1%
14.0%
1.0%
7.0%
0.5%
 
100%
8,804
6,573
6,967
2,556
16,695
1,287
8,731
1,485
4,484
303
 
59,794
14.7%
11.0%
11.7%
4.3%
27.9%
2.2%
14.6%
2.5%
7.5%
0.5%
 
100%
59%
57%
49%
100%
36%
209%
59%
281%
64%
60%

56%
 


 
TABLE 6
VARIABLES USED TO PREDICT VARIATION IN ABANDONMENT: 
DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS AND PREDICTED DIRECTION OF EFFECT

Predicted
 Direction
 of Effect

 
Renovated houses 1995-2001
                                          Mean
                                          (SD)
 
# of Settlement Grants-all years of program
                                          Mean
                                          (SD)
 
# of Basic System Repair Program grants 95-00
                                          Mean
                                          (SD)
 
# of dollar amount of Basic System Repair Program
grants 95-00 (total)
                                          Mean
                                          (SD)
 
Average assessment of residential real estate
                                          Mean
                                          (SD)
 
# of properties in City Tax Sale 2000
                                          Mean
                                          (SD)
 
# of properties delinquent greater than market value
                                          Mean
                                          (SD)
 
# of publicly owned vacant properties in the 1999
survey
                                          Mean
                                          (SD)
 
Single 1-4 Family Purchase Loans Originated, 1999
                                          Mean
                                          (SD)
 
% of loans originated by sub-prime lenders
                                          Mean
                                          (SD)
 
% of applications for home purchase mortgages
denied, 1999
                                          Mean
                                          (SD)
 
% of applications for home purchase mortgages
denied, 1999
                                          Mean
                                          (SD)
 
# of fire department structure fires in residential
structures, 2000
                                          Mean
(SD)
 
Binary Center City Variable (1 = Center City)
                                            Mean
                                            (SD)
 
Median household income
                                            Mean
                                            (SD)
 
% of housing units owner occupied, 1990
                                            Mean
                                            (SD)
 
% of heads of households 65 years and older
                                            Mean
                                            (SD)
 
% African American, 2000
                                            Mean
                                            (SD)
 
% Latino, 2000
                                            Mean
                                            (SD)
 
% Asian, 2000
                                            Mean
                                            (SD)
 
% change in population, 1990-2000
                                            Mean
                                            (SD)
 
% change in Hispanic population, 1990-2000
                                            Mean
                                            (SD)
 
% change in Asian Population 90-00
                                            Mean
                                            (SD)
 
Mean sales price 2000 sales of residential property
over $100                           Negative
                                            Mean
                                            (SD)
 
% of sales of residential property in 2000 >$100
                                            Mean
                                            (SD)
 
% of residential parcels
                                            Mean
                                            (SD)
 
% of total parcels
                                             Mean
                                            (SD)
 
 
0.82
(2.12)
 
 
33.45
(56.33)
 

34.63
(51.11)
 
 
 
134,280.41
(198,372.94)
 
 
15,003.10
(15,576.15)
 
 
0.97
(2.38)
 
 
25.59
(63.70)
 
 
 
35.54
(84.31)
 
 
40.75
(43.18)
 
 
29.44
(21.04)
 
 
 
22.87
(18.04)
 
 
 
48.80
(20.32)
 
 
 
5.37
(5.34)
 
 
0.03
(0.18)
 
 
25,844.28
(13,742.80)
 
 
60.32
(22.78)
 
 
32.70
(15.02)
 
 
43.33
(37.08)
 
 
7.65
(14.25)
 
 
3.99
(6.95)
 
 
-3.84
(23.74)
 
 
167.89
(360.45)
 
 
85.62
(300.46)
 
 
 
75,520.71
(90,229.24)
 
 
41.94
(43.23)
 
 
1,193.74
(951.37)
 
 
1,535.36
(1,078.46)
 
 
Negative
 
 
 
Negative
 
 
 
Negative
 
 
 
 
Negative
 
 
 
Positive
 
 
 
Negative
 
 
 
Positive
 
 
 
 
Positive
 
 
 
Negative
 
 
 
Positive
 
 
 
 
Positive
 
 
 
 
Positive
 
 
 
 
Positive

 
 
Negative
 
 
 
Negative
 
 
 
Negative
 
 
 
Positive
 
 
 
Positive
 
 
 
Positive
 
 
 
Positive
 
 
 
Negative
 
 
 
Negative
 
 
 
 Negative
 
 
 
 
Negative
 
 
 
Negative
 
 
 
Don't Know



Don't Know
 
 

 TABLE 7
THE EFFECTS OF PUBLIC AND PRIVATE ACTIVITIES ON LEVELS OF ABANDONED HOUSING
 FOR PHILADELPHIA CENSUS TRACTS FOR 2000
(N = 332, DEPENDENT VARIABLE = LOG OF NUMBER ABANDONED PROPERTIES)

INDEPENDENT VARIABLES
PUBLIC SECTOR ACTIVITIES
# of Homeownership Rehabilitation Program
renovated houses 1995-2001
 
# of Office of Community & Housing
Development settlement grants-all years of program
 
# of Basic System Repair Program grants 95-00
 
 
# of dollar amount of Basic System Repair
Program grants 95-00 (total)
 
Average assessment of residential real estate
 
 
# of properties in City tax Sale 2000
 
 
# of properties delinquent & market value
 
 
# of publicly owned vacant properties
 
 
PRIVATE SECTOR ACTIVITIES
  
Single 1-4 Family Purchase Loans originated
 
 
% of loans originated by sub-prime lenders


% of applications for home mortgages denied, 1999

 
% of home improvement loans applications
denied, 1999
 
 
SOCIAL, DEMOGRAPHIC, AND HOUSING
CHARACTERISTICS

 
Structure fires in residential structures, 2000
 
 
Binary Center City variable (1 = Center City)
 
 
Median household income
 
 
% of housing units owner occupied, 1990
 
 
% of heads of households 65 years and older
 
 
% African American, 2000
 
 
% Latino, census
 
 
% Asian, 2000
 
 
% change in population, 1990-2000
 
 
% change in Hispanic population, 1990-2000
 
 
% change in Asian population, 1990-2000
 
 
Mean sales price residential property, 2000
 
 
# of sales of residential property, 2000
 
 
# of residential parcels
 

Constant
 

R2

0.008168
(0.012254)
 
0.000645
(0.000688)
 
0.003334
(0.002652)
 
0.000000
(0.000001)
 
-0.000026**
(0.000007)
 
0.017350*
(0.010478)
 
-0.000782
(0.000796)
 
-0.000300
(0.000583)
 
 
 
-0.004863**
(0.001255)
 
0.011865**
(0.002393)
 
0.000143
(0.001792)
 
0.004010**
(0.001604)




 
0.003289
(0.006642)
 
-0.015362
(0.180242)
 
-0.000005
(0.000004)
 
-0.000969
(0.001714)
 
0.002844
(0.001886)
 
0.001668
(0.001331)
 
-0.002164
(0.002177)
 
-0.008496**
(0.004252)
 
-0.004587**
(0.001713)
 
-0.000015
(0.000063)
 
-0.000014
(0.000072)
 
0.000004**
(0.000001)
 
0.007308**
(0.001639)
 
-0.001088**
(0.000173)
 
 0.194992
(0.178596)
 

0.82
Shown are the B Coefficients and the Standard Errors in Parentheses  
 
  
 

 TABLE 8
INDEPENDENT VARIABLES IN HEDONIC REGRESSION ANALYSIS
PREDICTING THE INFLUENCE OF ABANDONMENT ON HOUSE SALES PRICES
 

Total living area (log sq. ft.)
                Mean
                (SD)
 
Total lot area (log sq. ft.)
                Mean
                (SD)
 
Binary variable masonry (1 = brick)
                Mean
                (SD)
 
Binary variable stone (1 = stone)
                Mean
                (SD)
 
Binary variable row house (1 = row house)
                Mean
                (SD)
 
Binary variable semi-detached (1 = semi -detached)
                Mean
                (SD)
 
Binary variable house with garage (1 = with garage)
                Mean
                (SD)
 
Binary variable one story house (1 = one story house)
                Mean
                (SD)
 
Binary variable two story house (1 = two story house)
                Mean
                (SD)
 
Binary variable three story house (1 = three story house)
                    Mean
                    (SD)
 
Binary abandonment variable (1 = abandoned)
                    Mean
                    (SD)
 
Binary variable summer sale (1 = winter sale)
                    Mean
                    (SD)
 
Binary variable winter sale (1 = winter sale)
                    Mean
                    (SD)
 
Binary variable spring sale (1 = spring sale)
                    Mean
                    (SD)
 
Percentage change in population in block group
                    Mean
                    (SD)
 
Percent Hispanic in block group 2000
                    Mean
                    (SD)
 
Percent African American in block group in 2000                   
                    Mean
                    (SD)

Percent Anglo in block group in 2000
                    Mean
                    (SD)
 
Percent Asian in block group in 2000
                    Mean
                    (SD)
 
Median household income in tract
                    Mean
                    (SD)
 
Median year structure built in tract
                    Mean
                    (SD)
 
Percent delinquent more than 100% of market value in tract
                    Mean
                    (SD)
 
 
1-4 Family Purchase Loans Originated in tract, 1999
                    Mean
                    (SD)
 
Percent of applications for home mortgages denied in tract, 1999
                    Mean
                    (SD)
 
Percent loans originated by sub-prime lenders in tracts, 1990-98
                    Mean
                    (SD)
 
Distance from the central business district (ft.)
                    Mean
                    (SD)
 
Binary variable vacant residential structure (1 = within 150 feet)
                    Mean
                    (SD)
 
Binary variable vacant residential structure (1 = between 150-300 feet)
                    Mean
                    (SD)
 
Binary variable vacant residential structure (1 = between 300-450 feet)
                    Mean
                    (SD)
 
Binary variable vacant residential structure (1 = between 450-600 feet)
                    Mean
                    (SD)
 
Number of parcels on block
                    Mean
                    (SD)
 
Binary variable abandoned property on block (1 = one)
                    Mean
                    (SD)
 
Binary variable abandoned properties on block (1 = two)
                    Mean
                    (SD)
 
Binary variable abandoned properties on block (1 = three)
                    Mean
                    (SD)
 
Binary variable abandoned properties on block (1 = four)
                    Mean
                    (SD)
 
Binary variable abandoned properties on block (1 = five)
                    Mean
                    (SD)
 
Binary variable abandoned properties on block (1 = six)
                    Mean
                    (SD)
 
Binary variable abandoned properties on block (1 = seven)
                    Mean
                    (SD)
 
Binary variable abandoned properties on block (1 = eight)
                    Mean
                    (SD)
 
Binary variable abandoned properties on block (1 = nine or more)
                    Mean
                    (SD)
 
Binary variable abandoned properties on block (1 = ten or more)
                    Mean
                    (SD)
 
Binary variable abandoned properties on block (1 = none)
                    Mean
                    (SD)
 
3.01
(0.52)
 
 
5.15
(0.36)
 
 
0.96
(0.20)
 
 
0.02
(0.14)
 
 
0.80
(0.40)
 
 
0.15
(0.36)
 
 
0.46
(0.50)
 
 
0.05
(0.21)
 
 
0.82
(0.38)
 
 
0.10
(0.30)

 
0.02
(0.15)
 
 
0.34
(0.47)


0.14  
(0.35)


0.29
(0.46)


5.81
(197.09)


9.58
(17.03)


29.74
(35.03)


49.49
(37.40)


4.18
(8.38)


26,309.32
(8,186.44)


1,944.60
(8.86)


0.26
(0.85)



79.17
(54.79)


0.20
(0.12)


25.84
(17.60)


27,428.12
(16,398.32)


0.15
(0.36)


0.20
(0.40)


 0.11
(0.32)


0.08
(0.26)


36.73
(20.94)


0.14
(0.35)


0.06
(0.24)


0.03
(0.18)


0.02
(0.15)


0.02
(0.13)


0.01
(0.11)


0.01
(0.09)


0.01
(0.09)


0
(0.07)


0.02
(0.15)


0.67
(0.47)
[1] For residential property sales over $1000  
 
 

 TABLE 9
THE EFFECT OF ABANDONED PROPERTY PROXIMITY ON RESIDENTIAL SALES PRICES IN 2000
(N = 14526, DEPENDENT VARIABLE = LOG SALES PRICES)
 

INDEPENDENT VARIABLE MODEL 1 MODEL 2 MODEL 3

PROPERTY CHARACTERISTICS
 
Total living area (log sq. ft.)
 
 
Total lot area (log sq. ft.)
 
         
Binary variable masonry  (1 = brick) a
 
 
Binary variable stone (1 = stone) a
 
 
Binary variable row house (1 = row house) b
 
 
Binary variable semi-detached (1 = semi-detached) b
 
 
Binary variable house with garage (1 = house with garage) c
 
 
Binary variable one story house (1 = one story house) d
 
 
Binary variable two story house (1 = two story house) d
 
 
Binary variable three story house (1 = three story house) d
 
 
Binary variable abandoned property, 2000e
(1 = abandoned)
 
SEASON OF SALE
 
Binary variable summer sale (1 = summer sale) f
 
 
Binary variable winter sale (1 = winter sale) f
 
 
Binary variable spring sale (1 = spring sale) f
 
 
 
NEIGHBORHOOD CHARACTERISTICS
 
%age change in population in blockgroup
 
 
% Hispanic in block group, 2000
 
 
% African American in block group, 2000
                  
 
% Anglo in block group, 2000
                  
 
% Asian in block group, 2000
 
 
Median household income in tract
 
 
Median year structure built in tract
 
 
% delinquent more than 100% of market value in tract
 
 
# of single family loans originated in tract, 1999
 
 
# of applications for home mortgages denied in tract, 1999
 
 
% of loans by sub-prime lenders in tract, 1990-98
 
 
Distance from the central business district (ft.)
 
 
ABANDONED PROPERTY VARIABLES
 
Binary variable vacant residential structure (1 = within 150 feet) g
 
 
 
Binary variable vacant residential structure (1 = between 150-299 feet)g
 
 
 
Binary variable vacant residential structure (1 = between 300-449 feet)g
 
 
 
Binary variable vacant residential structure (1 = 450-600 feet) g

 
 
9,684.68**
(817.81)
 
13,914.30**
(1,533.18)
 
3,834.50
(3,007.91)
 
26,772.34**
(4,104.14)
 
-37,103.00**
(2,410.94)
 
-28,315.60**
(2,252.36)
 
9,710.01**
(1,077.85)
 
-66,194.11**
(3,132.75)
 
-69,350.83**
(2,564.07)
 
-34,670.22**
(2,768.58)
 
-21,407.24**
(2,797.31)
 
 
 
486.07
(1,087.40)
 
-2,272.05*
(1,366.77)
 
-1,098.33
(1,123.96)
 
 
 
 
1.19
(2.04)
 
-29.35
(31.72)
 
-82.32**
 (24.59) 
 
-49.62**
(20.77)
 
-160.36**
(51.64)
 
3.73**
(0.08)
 
1,470.94**
(73.30)
 
2,847.08**
(534.42)
 
13.55
(9.60)
 
-14,769.60**
(5,573.85)
 
-406.15**
(52.32)
 
-1.88**
(0.04)
 
 
 
-7626.80**
(1,259.19)
  
-6,819.44**
(1,126.61)
  
-3,542.01**
(1,359.66)
 
 1,343.22
(1,604.90)
 
 
9,805.99**
(816.85)
 
13,578.98**
(1,544.36)
 
3,761.99
(3,008.44)
 
26,557.48**
(4,105.18)
 
-36,506.11**
(2,433.26)
 
-27,925.29**
(2,258.67)
 
9,609.78**
(1,090.96)
 
-66,158.49**
(3,133.14)
 
-68,995.15**
(2,568.05)
 
-35,285.79**
(2,767.83)
 
-18,334.43**
(2,846.320)
 
 
 
431.39
(1,087.22)
 
-2,175.80
(1,367.15)
 
-1,007.80
(1,124.01)
 
 
 
 
2.04
(1.09)
 
0.26
(32.17)
 
-52.47**
 (24.95)
 
-38.22*
(20.98)
 
-163.96**
(51.84)
 
3.68**
(0.08)
 
1,518.56**
(72.65)
 
3,129.36**
(543.65)
 
12.31
(9.65)
 
-13,456.03**
(5,600.04)
 
-412.50**
(52.28)
 
-1.86**
(0.04)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
9,810.22**
(815.98)
 
13,453.55**
(1,535.07)  
 
3,835.06
(3,007.05)

26,608.57**
(4,102.52)  
 
-36,643.51**
(2,426.55)         
 
-27,976.25**
(2,256.33)
 
9,586.69**
(1,087.03)
 
-66,226.68**
(3,132.03)
 
-69,032.79**
(2,565.40)
 
-35,238.03**
(2,766.87)
 
-18,248.89**
(2,835.19)
 
 
 
443.11
(1,086.89)
 
-2,170.01
(1,366.39)
 
-998.80
(1,123.49)
 
 
 
 
1.11
(2.04)
 
1.94
(32.04)
 
-53.57**
(24.92)
 
-38.38*
(20.94)
 
-164.84**
(51.66)
 
3.68**
(0.08)
 
1,520.70**
(72.32)
 
3,207.74**
(533.38)
 
12.23
(9.62)
 
-12,725.43**
(5,584.40)
 
-412.79**
(52.24)
 
-1.85**
(0.04)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
# parcels on block
 
             
Binary variable for abandoned property on block (1 = one) h
 
 
Binary variable for abandoned property on block (1 = two) h
 
 
Binary variable for abandoned property on block (1 = three) h
 
 
Binary variable for abandoned property on block (1 = four) h
 
 
Binary variable for abandoned property on block (1 = five) h
 
 
Binary variable for abandoned property on block (1 = six) h
 
 
Binary variable for abandoned property on block (1 = seven) h
 
 
Binary variable for abandoned property on block (1 = eight) h
 
 
Binary variable for abandoned property on block (1 = nine) h
 
 
Binary variable for abandoned property on block (1 = ten) h
 
 
Binary variable for abandoned property on block (1 = none) i


 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
-85.68**
(21.45)
 
-6,467.89**
(1,233.88)

-7,904.21**
(1,804.12)

-5,095.70**
(2,386.47)

-8,196.78**
(2,866.89)

-10,043.71**
(3,339.30)

-7,603.99**
(3,700.38)

-3,245.70
(4,663.28)

-6,121.75
(4,477.79)

-1,639.16
(6,158.01)

-3,910.96
(2,969.98)

 
 
-83.13**
(21.07)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 6,715.37**
(1,042.91)
Constant    


R2   
 -2,836,082.28** 
 (143,150.11)    

   0.50  
-2,926,984.12**
(141,725.75)    

0.50   
-2,937,331.35**
 (141,168.46)

       0.50
*            P < .10
**         P < .05

Shown are the B Coefficients with Standard Errors in Parenthesis
 
              a.             Omitted variable = frame
              b.             Omitted variable   = unattached
              c.             Omitted variable = house without garage
              d.             Omitted variable = more four story house
              e.             Omitted variable = non-abandoned
              f.             Omitted variable = Fall sale
              g.             Omitted variable = more than 600 feet
              h.             Omitted variable = more than 10 abandoned properties on block
               i.             Omitted variable = no abandoned property on block